|
|
|
|
Twizzle Dizzle Red rolled 1 20-sided dice:
12
Total: 12 (1-20)
|
|
Posted: Thu May 14, 2009 12:38 pm
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Thu May 14, 2009 5:27 pm
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Tue May 19, 2009 7:21 am
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Wed May 20, 2009 1:41 pm
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Thu May 21, 2009 9:03 am
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Thu May 21, 2009 9:51 am
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Thu May 21, 2009 6:08 pm
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Thu May 21, 2009 8:25 pm
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Fri May 22, 2009 1:00 pm
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Fri May 22, 2009 3:17 pm
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Sun May 24, 2009 10:55 am
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Sun May 24, 2009 11:58 am
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/s.gif) |
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/s.gif) |
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/s.gif) |
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/s.gif) |
K. I have some numbers you might want to consider in this case, because I DO examine the numbers on this stuff. The Democrats have a 79 seat advantage in the House. That means we would need to flip 40 seats to regain the House. Simply put, unless Obama boffs the economy into a new Great Depression, is caught lying and covering up illegal actions in the White House, or fails a major legislative overhual of a huge sector at the same time he witnesses a major military defeat somewhere, those numbers aren't going to happen. The three instances I mentioned are the only historical precedents where 40 or more House seats flipped in a midterm, the first instance applying to Hoover, the second to Nixon, and the last to Clinton. Obama is playing things very tightly right now, and with the incredible majorities he has in Congress it's unlikely he'll flub a piece of legislation. That leases us having to capture an unprecedented number of seats with a president not throwing us any bones here and a party which is not willing to run candidates anymore who could win in vast electoral grounds where we have been kicked out. Simply put, gains are possible, but we're not going to retake the majority. We have way too many problems to solve within the party first.
As to the Senate, Republicans have 2 thresholds to shoot for, filibuster and majority. The first is attainable, the second is not. This Senate class is already Republican heavy and we're already on the defensive in it. We need to defend Florida (which, thanks to Charlie Christ, we've got a shot), Brownback is quitting in Kansas, Murkowski could face a very tough fight in Alaska (which has already put 1 Democratic Senator in office), McCain could be a major target in Arizona where the GOP is starting to lose a lot of ground, Kit Bond, Jim Bunning, David Vitter and Richard Burr all could face major challenges as well. Now, on the vulnerabilities on the Democrats side, Dodd has shown some softness in the polls, and Blanche Lincoln in Arkansas could be a target. After that you have a ton of northern and northeastern seats that the Republican party just can't compete in anymore. Even with Specter in PA, the Quinnipiac poll done on that shows that Specter crushes Pat Toomey. There's still some x-factor out in the west, with Salazar's seat out in Colorado, and Reid in Nevada, but that's 4 total vulnerable Dems at best, against 6 for the Republicans. We will be lucky to walk out without losses. We will be incredibly lucky to walk out with gains.
Now, if you can point to numbers which contradict the ones I've presented you, I'm open to the argument that we've got a snowballs chance in hell of winning a majority.
|
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/posts/say/say_b3_p.gif) |
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/s.gif) |
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/s.gif) |
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/s.gif) |
|
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/template/s.gif) |
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/template/s.gif) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Mon May 25, 2009 10:56 pm
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Tue May 26, 2009 6:56 am
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/s.gif) |
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/s.gif) |
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/s.gif) |
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/s.gif) |
Quote: she's too close to the Presidency and having something like that with as much as power she has
I have two words that answer that concern; Joe Biden. Basically, if Obama goes you're going to need a slew of deaths before anybody of quality is in line for the job. So, the best bet for right now is just doing everything we can to make sure Obama survives the presidency. Now, in 4 years I say Obama drops Biden for Mark Warner of Virginia.
Quote: But... she is ruining it for the democrates due to her arrogance. If she is let to keep her place, she'll continue to believe she is untouchable and continue to keep making the dems look bad, also it'll show how doublestandard the dems are.
Precisely. There's no better way to let a side fail then to just get out of their way and let them screw up. The dems screwing up is going to be no small part of a Republican formula to a comeback. There's other issues, but the public has given them a chance. Like it or not, that's what they've done. So, the more we impede them having a go at it on their own the more we draw the ire of the public.
Quote: I don't think a lot of the American people are that intuned. More people can tell you the names of famous celebraties and what about them. But I'm pretty sure a lot of them do not know how Pelosi is
You'd be surprised. Most people couldn't have told you who Tom Delay was, till there was an ethics scandal. The public doesn't pay attention to business as usual, but they will absolutely drop everything they're doing to listen to someone's failings.
|
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/posts/say/say_b3_p.gif) |
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/s.gif) |
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/s.gif) |
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/s.gif) |
|
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/template/s.gif) |
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/template/s.gif) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: Tue May 26, 2009 1:16 pm
|
|
|
|
|
![](//graphics.gaiaonline.com/images/template/s.gif) |
|
|
|
|
|